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Financial Model Assumptions

Business Finance Claude Gemini GPT-4
4 views Added March 26, 2026

Prompt

Build financial model assumptions for: Business: {business}. Revenue model: {revenue_model}. Current stage: {stage}. Key metrics: {metrics}. Time horizon: {time_horizon}. Include: revenue assumptions (pricing tiers, conversion rates, growth rates), cost assumptions (fixed, variable, headcount), unit economics (CAC, LTV, payback period), sensitivity analysis scenarios (bull/base/bear), and key risks to the model.

Variables

business revenue_model stage metrics time_horizon

About This Prompt

Generate structured financial model assumptions for startups with revenue, cost, and growth projections.

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Example Output

**Financial Model Assumptions: AI SaaS Platform**
**Time Horizon:** 3 years
**Model:** Freemium + Marketplace

**Revenue Assumptions:**

Metric
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3

--------
--------
--------
--------

Monthly visitors
10K→50K
50K→200K
200K→500K

Free users
2,000
15,000
60,000

Paid conversion
2%
3%
4%

Paid users
40
450
2,400

ARPU (monthly)
$15
$20
$25

MRR (end of year)
$600
$9,000
$60,000

ARR (end of year)
$7.2K
$108K
$720K

**Cost Assumptions:**
- Hosting: $200/mo → scales with traffic at ~$0.002/visitor
- Headcount: Founder only (Y1), +1 engineer (Y2), +2 (Y3)
- Marketing: 20% of revenue reinvested

**Unit Economics:**
- CAC: $15 (content/SEO driven, low paid spend)
- LTV: $360 (18 months × $20 ARPU)
- LTV:CAC ratio: 24:1
- Payback period: 0.75 months

**Sensitivity — Bear Case:**
- 50% lower traffic growth, 1.5% conversion = $180K ARR Y3

Usage Tips

  • Document every assumption explicitly
  • Use bottom-up not top-down for early stage
  • Include bear case — investors will ask
  • Update monthly with actuals vs. projections